Track Record
Every Qi Men reading on real-world events is scored when the underlying market settles, or by manual resolution for breaking-news readings without a market. Hits and misses are shown honestly. This page updates automatically — there is no curation, no removal of misses.
Published
174
Resolved
95
Chart hit rate
67%
Awaiting
79
Resolved readings
Showing 21–40 of 95 · newest first
Will GPT-6 Be Released by June 30, 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jul 2, 2026Will China Blockade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jul 2, 2026Will Tesla and SpaceX Announce a Merger by June 30, 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jul 2, 2026Will the US Obtain Iranian Enriched Uranium by June 30, 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jul 2, 2026Will NVIDIA Remain the World's Largest Company by Market Cap on June 30, 2026?
HitChart said Yes·Outcome Yes·Jul 2, 2026Will Elon Musk Buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jul 2, 2026Will Apple Be the Largest Company in the World by Market Cap on June 30, 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jul 2, 2026Will Israel Close Its Airspace by June 30, 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jul 2, 2026Will Google Have the Best AI Model at the End of June 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jul 2, 2026Will Crude Oil Hit $100 by End of June 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jul 2, 2026Will SCOTUS Bar Counting Mail Ballots After Election Day?
MissChart said Yes·Outcome No·Jul 2, 2026Will Germany Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jul 2, 2026Will Trump Agree to Iranian Uranium Enrichment by June 30, 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jul 2, 2026Will Claude Fable 5 Be Restored for US Customers by June 26, 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jun 28, 2026Will Claude Fable 5 Be Restored for US Customers by July 1, 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jun 25, 2026Will Abelardo de la Espriella Win the 2026 Colombian Presidential Election?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·Jun 24, 2026Will Ivan Cepeda Castro Win the 2026 Colombian Presidential Election?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jun 24, 2026Will Chong Won-oh Win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jun 22, 2026Will Keir Starmer Be Out as UK Prime Minister by June 30, 2026?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·Jun 22, 2026Will Keir Starmer Be Out as UK Prime Minister by July 31, 2026?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·Jun 22, 2026
A high hit rate does not validate the system; a low hit rate does not invalidate it. We publish these numbers because epistemic transparency is more interesting than the score.