Track Record
Every Qi Men reading on real-world events is scored when the underlying market settles, or by manual resolution for breaking-news readings without a market. Hits and misses are shown honestly. This page updates automatically — there is no curation, no removal of misses.
Published
174
Resolved
95
Chart hit rate
67%
Awaiting
79
Resolved readings
Showing 41–60 of 95 · newest first
Will Wyndham Clark Win the 2026 US Open?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·Jun 22, 2026Will Scottie Scheffler Win the 2026 US Open?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jun 22, 2026Will the US and Iran Reach a Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·Jun 21, 2026Will Vitality Win the IEM Cologne Major 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jun 20, 2026Will Andy Burnham Win the 2026 Makerfield By-Election?
HitChart said Yes·Outcome Yes·Jun 19, 2026Will the US and Iran Sign a Permanent Peace Deal by June 30, 2026?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·Jun 18, 2026Will the Fed Hold Rates at the June 2026 FOMC Meeting?
HitChart said Yes·Outcome Yes·Jun 17, 2026Will the Carolina Hurricanes Win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
HitChart said Yes·Outcome Yes·Jun 15, 2026Will the Vegas Golden Knights Win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jun 15, 2026Will Ilia Topuria Beat Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250?
MissChart said Ilia Topuria·Outcome Justin Gaethje·Jun 15, 2026Will the US Announce a New Iran Ceasefire Extension by June 30, 2026?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·Jun 15, 2026Will Trump Announce the US Strait of Hormuz Blockade Is Lifted by July 31, 2026?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·Jun 15, 2026Will the New York Knicks Win the 2026 NBA Finals?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·Jun 14, 2026Will the San Antonio Spurs Win the 2026 NBA Finals?
MissChart said Yes·Outcome No·Jun 14, 2026Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·Jun 12, 2026Will Connor McDavid Win the 2025-26 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jun 12, 2026Will Graham Platner win the Maine Democratic Senate primary?
HitChart said Yes·Outcome Yes·Jun 10, 2026Will Claude 5 Be Released by September 30, 2026?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·Jun 9, 2026Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·Jun 9, 2026Will the US and Iran Sign a Permanent Peace Deal by June 7, 2026?
HitChart said No·Outcome No·Jun 8, 2026
A high hit rate does not validate the system; a low hit rate does not invalidate it. We publish these numbers because epistemic transparency is more interesting than the score.