Track Record
Every Qi Men reading on real-world events is scored when the underlying market settles, or by manual resolution for breaking-news readings without a market. Hits and misses are shown honestly. This page updates automatically — there is no curation, no removal of misses.
Published
164
Resolved
86
Chart hit rate
67%
Awaiting
78
Resolved readings
Showing 61–80 of 86 · newest first
Will PSG Win the 2025-26 Champions League?
MissChart said No·Outcome Yes·May 30, 2026Garden Grove GKN Aerospace MMA Tank Failure: Explosion or Controlled Release?
HitChart said Controlled release·Outcome Controlled release·May 25, 2026Will Bitcoin Hit $100k in 2024?
HitChart said Yes — Triple Ace Peak aligns upward·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026Will China Invade Taiwan in 2024?
HitChart said No — obstruction pattern holds quo·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Presidential Election Winner 2024
HitChart said Yes — dominant field favors challenger·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026House Control After 2024 Election
MissChart said Yes — incumbent structural advantage·Outcome Republican·May 21, 2026Israel Strike on Iranian Nuclear Facility in 2024?
MissChart said No — obstruction blocks decisive action·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
HitChart said No — Deadlock holds frozen positions·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
HitChart said Yes — channel opening toward resolution·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026Will Trump Acquire Greenland in 2025?
HitChart said No — aspiration without completion·Outcome No·May 21, 2026US Recession in 2025?
HitChart said No — stress without structural collapse·Outcome No·May 21, 2026TikTok Banned in the US Before May 2025?
MissChart said No — movement without completion·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Before July 2025?
HitChart said No — Deadlock persists, no opening·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Will Israel Invade Lebanon in September?
MissChart said Yes — aggressive field points escalation·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Will China Invade Taiwan in 2025?
HitChart said No — stability outweighs escalation·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Jerome Powell Out as Fed Chair in 2025?
HitChart said No — tension without resolution·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Trump Deportation Scale in 2025
HitChart said No — intent blocked by friction·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Will Trump Be Impeached in 2025?
HitChart said No — GEN Override blocks the process·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Will Trump Lower Tariffs on China in April 2025?
HitChart said Yes — concession energy active·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026Next Government of Canada
HitChart said Yes — dominant field favors incumbent·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026
A high hit rate does not validate the system; a low hit rate does not invalidate it. We publish these numbers because epistemic transparency is more interesting than the score.