Track Record
Every Qi Men reading on real-world events is scored when the underlying market settles, or by manual resolution for breaking-news readings without a market. Hits and misses are shown honestly. This page updates automatically — there is no curation, no removal of misses.
Published
174
Resolved
95
Chart hit rate
67%
Awaiting
79
Resolved readings
Showing 81–95 of 95 · newest first
TikTok Banned in the US Before May 2025?
MissChart said No — movement without completion·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Before July 2025?
HitChart said No — Deadlock persists, no opening·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Will Israel Invade Lebanon in September?
MissChart said Yes — aggressive field points escalation·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Will China Invade Taiwan in 2025?
HitChart said No — stability outweighs escalation·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Jerome Powell Out as Fed Chair in 2025?
HitChart said No — tension without resolution·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Trump Deportation Scale in 2025
HitChart said No — intent blocked by friction·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Will Trump Be Impeached in 2025?
HitChart said No — GEN Override blocks the process·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Will Trump Lower Tariffs on China in April 2025?
HitChart said Yes — concession energy active·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026Next Government of Canada
HitChart said Yes — dominant field favors incumbent·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026US Military Action Against Iran Before July 2025?
MissChart said No — threat present, discharge blocked·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026Trump x Ukraine Mineral Deal Signed Before May?
HitChart said Yes — alignment pattern near agreement·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026Trump Out as President by March 31, 2026?
HitChart said No — structural continuity holds firm·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Will the US Officially Declare War on Iran Before July?
HitChart said No — escalation blocked at threshold·Outcome No·May 21, 2026Israel x Iran Ceasefire Before July 2025?
HitChart said Yes — resolution channel opens·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by End of 2026?
MissChart said No — frozen field holds, no resolution·Outcome Yes·May 21, 2026
A high hit rate does not validate the system; a low hit rate does not invalidate it. We publish these numbers because epistemic transparency is more interesting than the score.